The cryptocurrency market is buzzing with excitement as Bitcoin has soared to new heights, crossing the $100,000 mark for the first time in December. As of January 17, 2025, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $104,282, and this remarkable milestone has reignited interest in the crypto space. The rise in Bitcoin’s value has many investors pondering two key questions: 

 Let’s dive into these questions and explore the factors driving this unprecedented growth.

Deciding to invest in Bitcoin is not a decision to be taken lightly. There are several key considerations to keep in mind before jumping into the crypto market. The recent surge in Bitcoin’s value has been partially driven by political developments. President-elect Donald Trump has expressed strong support for cryptocurrencies and plans to prioritize digital assets in his administration. Policies like forming a crypto advisory council and addressing issues such as crypto de-banking could create a favorable environment for crypto investors, which in turn bolsters market confidence.

However, Bitcoin's volatile nature must not be overlooked. The cryptocurrency market is known for its dramatic price fluctuations, making it both a high-risk and high-reward investment. For instance, Bitcoin saw an astonishing 120% increase in value in 2024, largely driven by speculation surrounding Trump’s pro-crypto stance. While these gains can be tempting, potential investors should also prepare for possible downturns that are characteristic of this asset class.

The regulatory landscape also plays a crucial role in Bitcoin's future prospects. The incoming administration’s crypto-friendly policies, such as establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve, are likely to encourage adoption and drive prices higher. Nevertheless, it’s wise to diversify your investment portfolio by including other assets like stocks and bonds alongside cryptocurrencies to mitigate risks. As with any investment, the key is to weigh the potential rewards against your risk tolerance and financial goals.

For those ready to take the plunge into Bitcoin investment, choosing the right platform is essential for a secure and seamless experience. One of the most popular options is Binance, a global cryptocurrency exchange offering a wide variety of digital assets. Binance makes it easy to purchase Bitcoin using debit or credit cards, bank deposits, and even third-party payment systems. It is widely regarded as a trusted platform for beginners and seasoned traders alike.

Another excellent choice is eToro, a trading platform known for its unique features like copy trading, which allows users to mimic the strategies of successful investors. eToro supports Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies and offers multiple payment options, including bank transfers and e-wallets like NETELLER. For UK-based investors, CoinCorner is a reputable option that has been serving crypto buyers since 2014. With a minimum purchase requirement as low as £5/€5, it is an accessible choice for those looking to dip their toes into the market. Additionally, the platform provides a mobile app for added convenience.

For those who prefer simplicity, Revolut is a great alternative. This financial platform allows users to buy Bitcoin directly through its app, making the process straightforward and user-friendly. Revolut also ensures a high level of security for assets held on its platform. Regardless of the platform you choose, be sure to verify its credibility and understand any associated fees before making a purchase.

Bitcoin’s recent climb past $100,000 has reaffirmed its position as a leading asset in the cryptocurrency market. With a promising outlook fueled by favorable policies and increasing adoption, many investors see this as a golden opportunity. However, the decision to buy Bitcoin should be made with careful consideration of the market’s volatility, your personal risk tolerance, and the regulatory environment. By staying informed and choosing reputable platforms for purchasing Bitcoin, you can navigate the world of crypto investments with greater confidence.

Bitcoin's Meteoric Rise: Where to Buy

In an era of rapid technological and economic evolution, the United States launching a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve would not only demonstrate financial innovation but also mark a significant geopolitical shift. By adopting this forward-thinking approach, the U.S. could solidify its position as a leader in the global digital economy while addressing emerging challenges in the financial and geopolitical landscape. This article delves into why this move could be transformative, both globally and domestically, and why it represents a smart strategy for the future.

The Concept of a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve

A Bitcoin Strategic Reserve refers to a national stockpile of Bitcoin (BTC), held and managed by the government as a part of its financial reserves. Similar to gold reserves, which have historically underpinned monetary stability, Bitcoin reserves could serve as a hedge against inflation, a safeguard against currency devaluation, and a tool for financial diversification.

The idea of holding Bitcoin aligns with the principles of decentralization and digital sovereignty. As Bitcoin gains broader acceptance and legitimacy, its inclusion in a nation’s reserve strategy reflects the growing recognition of its potential as a store of value and medium of exchange.

Geopolitical Significance of a Bitcoin Reserve

1. Reducing Dependency on Traditional Reserve Assets

Historically, the U.S. dollar has been the world's primary reserve currency. However, increasing global diversification into alternative assets and currencies threatens this dominance. By creating a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve, the U.S. could proactively adapt to these changes, securing its influence in a multipolar financial world.

2. Counteracting the Rise of Digital Yuan

China's aggressive rollout of its digital yuan poses a challenge to U.S. monetary influence. Establishing a Bitcoin reserve would counterbalance China's digital currency efforts by promoting a decentralized and non-sovereign alternative. This move would appeal to nations wary of centralized digital currencies tied to major geopolitical powers.

Geopolitical tensions often lead to financial sanctions or trade restrictions. A Bitcoin reserve, immune to political control and manipulation, could provide a buffer against such disruptions. This resilience would enhance national security and economic independence.

Adopting Bitcoin as a strategic asset would position the U.S. as a global leader in the cryptocurrency space. This leadership would foster international partnerships, attract innovation, and encourage regulatory clarity, benefiting both the government and private sector.

Why Establishing a Bitcoin Reserve is a Smart Move

With global inflation rates climbing, Bitcoin’s deflationary nature makes it an attractive hedge. Unlike fiat currencies, Bitcoin has a fixed supply of 21 million coins, ensuring scarcity and long-term value preservation.

Traditional reserves like gold, foreign currencies, and treasury bonds are subject to market volatility and geopolitical risks. Adding Bitcoin to the mix diversifies the portfolio, reducing overall risk.

Beyond its monetary value, Bitcoin’s underlying blockchain technology offers unparalleled transparency, security, and traceability. These features could revolutionize government financial systems and enhance trust in fiscal policies.

A Bitcoin reserve would signal government endorsement, spurring greater domestic adoption of cryptocurrencies. This adoption could boost innovation, create jobs, and attract investment in the burgeoning blockchain industry.

As the global economy increasingly shifts towards digital assets, early movers will reap the benefits. Establishing a Bitcoin reserve ensures the U.S. is well-positioned for this transition, maintaining its competitive edge.

Bitcoin’s price volatility remains a concern. However, this can be mitigated by adopting a long-term perspective and gradually accumulating Bitcoin to minimize market impact.

A clear and comprehensive regulatory framework is essential. By establishing rules that promote innovation while ensuring security, the U.S. can navigate potential challenges effectively.

Skepticism about Bitcoin among policymakers and the public could hinder adoption. Education campaigns highlighting Bitcoin’s benefits and its role in modern finance could address these concerns.

As a digital asset, Bitcoin is susceptible to cyber threats. Implementing robust cybersecurity measures and leveraging advancements in blockchain security would safeguard the reserve.

A U.S. Bitcoin reserve would legitimize cryptocurrencies globally, encouraging other nations to follow suit. This widespread adoption could stabilize the crypto market and enhance its reliability.

Other major economies, such as the EU, China, and Japan, might establish their own Bitcoin reserves. This competition would accelerate the mainstream integration of cryptocurrencies.

The inclusion of Bitcoin in national reserves could disrupt traditional financial markets. While initially causing volatility, it would eventually lead to a more balanced and inclusive financial system.

The creation of a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve by the United States would be a groundbreaking step towards embracing the digital economy. Beyond its financial and economic benefits, it represents a strategic response to evolving geopolitical challenges. By diversifying its reserves, hedging against inflation, and reinforcing its leadership in the cryptocurrency space, the U.S. can secure a prosperous future in a rapidly changing world.

While challenges exist, they are not insurmountable. With thoughtful planning and proactive measures, the U.S. can transform potential risks into opportunities, ensuring its continued prominence on the global stage.

The USA’s Bitcoin Strategic Reserve: A Financial Masterstroke

The world of finance is no stranger to seismic shifts, but when traditional signals start flashing red, even seasoned investors take notice. Enter the 10-year US Treasury yield curve inversion—a phenomenon often associated with impending economic turbulence. Combine that with the rise of Bitcoin, a decentralized digital currency challenging the status quo, and we’re looking at a landscape ripe for transformation. Could this be a moment where Bitcoin cements its role as a financial lifeboat in uncharted waters?

What Is the 10-Year US Treasury Yield Curve Inversion?

The US Treasury yield curve is a critical indicator of economic health. Under normal circumstances, long-term bonds offer higher yields than short-term ones, reflecting the greater risks tied to the future. However, when this curve inverts—meaning short-term yields exceed long-term ones—it signals something is amiss.

Historically, such inversions have preceded every major recession in the past 50 years. The logic is simple: investors anticipate economic trouble, driving demand for long-term bonds and pushing their yields lower. When short-term rates climb higher, it’s a glaring red flag.

Why Does the Yield Curve Inversion Matter?

This inversion is not just a technical blip; it’s a symptom of deeper structural issues. It reflects a loss of confidence in the near-term economic outlook and raises questions about the sustainability of current financial systems.

For businesses, borrowing costs can rise, stifling growth. For households, it could mean higher mortgage rates and shrinking disposable income. For governments, it casts doubt on the efficacy of monetary policy. In short, an inverted yield curve often feels like the canary in the coal mine for economic health.

Bitcoin: A Hedge Against Financial Uncertainty

When uncertainty looms, investors seek refuge in safe havens. Historically, gold has served this purpose, but in recent years, Bitcoin has emerged as a digital alternative. Unlike fiat currencies tethered to central bank policies, Bitcoin operates on a decentralized blockchain network, free from government intervention.

Bitcoin’s appeal lies in its scarcity—only 21 million coins will ever exist. This limited supply makes it immune to inflationary pressures that erode the value of traditional currencies.

The financial world is teetering. Inflation rates are climbing, central banks are tightening policies, and the stability of fiat currencies is under scrutiny. The yield curve inversion only exacerbates these fears, as it suggests a potential recession on the horizon.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin continues to gain traction as a viable alternative. As trust in fiat diminishes, digital currencies are being embraced by both retail and institutional investors seeking to diversify their portfolios.

Comparing Bitcoin with Traditional Assets

When the chips are down, investors compare their options:

: Both are scarce, but Bitcoin offers unparalleled portability and ease of transaction.

: Stocks are tied to corporate performance, while Bitcoin operates independently of such metrics.

Bitcoin’s decentralized nature provides a compelling case for those wary of centralized systems.

Yield Curve Inversion and Bitcoin’s Rising Relevance

An inverted yield curve is not just a warning of recession; it’s a referendum on the fragility of fiat systems. Bitcoin, by contrast, represents a bold new paradigm. As the yield curve flashes its ominous warning, investors increasingly see Bitcoin as a safeguard against systemic risk.

In recent years, Bitcoin has transitioned from a niche asset to a serious contender in institutional portfolios. Companies like Tesla and MicroStrategy have publicly invested billions in Bitcoin, while nations such as El Salvador have adopted it as legal tender. Why? Because in a world where yield curve inversions hint at instability, Bitcoin offers an uncorrelated asset class that stands apart from traditional markets.

Financial giants, including Fidelity and BlackRock, are paving the way for Bitcoin’s integration into mainstream investing. They recognize its potential not only as a speculative asset but as a long-term store of value. The more the traditional financial world shows cracks, the more Bitcoin appears as a viable alternative.

Risks and Criticisms of Bitcoin in Uncertain Times

Bitcoin isn’t without its critics. Skeptics often point to its notorious price volatility as a reason for caution. While it’s true that Bitcoin prices can swing dramatically, proponents argue that these fluctuations are a feature of its nascent stage, not a flaw.

Then there’s the regulatory landscape. Governments around the world are grappling with how to manage cryptocurrency, with some imposing strict regulations and others embracing innovation. Additionally, Bitcoin’s energy consumption has sparked environmental concerns, though advancements in renewable mining practices are addressing this issue.

For all its promise, Bitcoin requires careful consideration, particularly for risk-averse investors.

Bitcoin’s Long-Term Potential in a Shifting Economy

As the global economy evolves, so does the potential for Bitcoin to reshape the financial landscape. Imagine a world where transactions occur without intermediaries, where monetary policy is transparent and fixed, and where individuals truly control their financial destiny.

Bitcoin’s underlying blockchain technology isn’t just about currency—it has the power to revolutionize industries ranging from supply chain management to healthcare. This broader application positions Bitcoin as more than a mere hedge; it’s a cornerstone of the digital economy of the future.

For those considering Bitcoin, a few key strategies can help navigate its complexities:

 Allocate a small percentage of your portfolio to Bitcoin to balance risk and reward.

 Understand Bitcoin’s fundamentals and how it fits into broader economic trends.

 While Bitcoin offers unique advantages, it’s best to pair it with traditional assets for a well-rounded portfolio.

 Regulatory shifts can significantly impact Bitcoin’s price and usability.

Investing in Bitcoin isn’t just about chasing profits—it’s about hedging against uncertainty and participating in a financial revolution.

Conclusion: A World on the Brink of Change

The 10-year US Treasury yield curve inversion is more than just a technical anomaly; it’s a glaring sign that the traditional financial system is under strain. In this climate of uncertainty, Bitcoin is emerging as a beacon of hope—a decentralized, inflation-resistant asset that offers a glimpse into the future of money.

As we grapple with the challenges posed by a shifting economy, Bitcoin invites us to rethink our relationship with currency, power, and financial independence. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or simply curious about what lies ahead, one thing is clear: the financial world is on the brink of profound transformation, and Bitcoin is poised to play a central role.

A Wake-Up Call for the Financial World?

Bitcoin and the 10-Year US Treasury Yield Curve Inversion

In a groundbreaking development for the crypto community, users who held assets on the bankrupt FTX exchange and the beleaguered Celsius Network lender can now trade their claims on the Open Exchange (OPNX), marking a significant step towards resolving the long-standing issues surrounding these platforms. 

The collapse of FTX in November last year left customers grappling with up to $8 billion in losses, precipitating a widespread crypto market downturn, while Celsius Network's bankruptcy filing revealed its users were owed approximately $4.7 billion. 

The arduous process of resolving these bankruptcy claims is expected to take years, but OPNX is offering an alternative that provides immediate liquidity and a chance for affected users to regain control over their funds.

Resolving bankruptcy claims in the cryptocurrency space is a protracted and uncertain process. 

For instance, trading firm Folkvang, based in the Cayman Islands, revealed that it anticipates its FTX claim, which wiped out half of its trading equity, could take up to eight years to be fully resolved. 

This extended timeline underscores the need for innovative solutions to address the financial distress faced by affected users. 

Currently, claims from FTX and Celsius Network can be found trading on OPNX, with the prevailing rate standing at approximately $0.30 per dollar, which rivals that of the Claims Market, a competing platform.

Mark Lamb, the founder of OPNX, has embraced claim tokenization as a revolutionary means of offering customers immediate liquidity. 

Through the platform, users can seize the opportunity to regain control over their funds, and once again participate in the vast array of market opportunities available within the crypto space. 

OPNX's claim tokenization system allows users to convert their FTX or Celsius claims into the platform's native tokens, reborn OX (reOX), or oUSD, the platform's profit-and-loss currency. 

These tokens serve a dual purpose, acting as collateral for trading on OPNX, thereby facilitating a seamless transition from claims to assets.

The brainchild of OPNX is the brainchild of Mark and Leslie Lamb, who come from the prominent crypto exchange, CoinFlex. 

They were joined by the formidable duo of Kyle Davies and Su Zhu, who are the masterminds behind Three Arrows Capital. 

Notably, Three Arrows Capital faced a tumultuous journey in the cryptocurrency market in the previous year. 

A highly leveraged trading strategy took an unexpected turn, leading to a cascade of liquidations across the industry. 

Their involvement in OPNX indicates a commitment to revitalizing the crypto market and providing solutions for users facing challenges due to the collapse of platforms like FTX and Celsius Network.

The advent of OPNX brings a glimmer of hope to users who have been grappling with the repercussions of the FTX and Celsius Network collapses. 

These beleaguered users now have the opportunity to trade their claims for immediate liquidity and native tokens. 

While the traditional route of resolving bankruptcy claims can take years, OPNX offers a more expedited alternative that allows users to participate in the crypto market once again. 

With the backing of influential industry players like Mark and Leslie Lamb from CoinFlex and Kyle Davies and Su Zhu from Three Arrows Capital, OPNX represents a promising solution that could reshape the cryptocurrency landscape. 

As this platform continues to gain momentum, it demonstrates the adaptability and resilience of the crypto community in addressing challenges and providing innovative solutions.

OPNX Breathes Life into FTX and Celsius Bankruptcy Claims

In this thought piece, we will dive deep into the world of trading Bitcoin and explore the challenges it presents. Trading cryptocurrencies might seem like a shortcut to financial success, but the statistics and harsh realities suggest otherwise. From the dangers of following 'successful' traders on social media to the allure of leverage trading, we'll break down why trading is not as easy or profitable as it may appear.

To understand the difficulties of trading Bitcoin, it's essential to examine some key statistics that shed light on the harsh realities of the trading world. These statistics, though not specific to crypto trading, serve as a valuable reference point.

 Approximately 80% of all day traders quit within the first two years of trading.

 Among all day traders, nearly 40% engage in day trading for only one month. Within three years, only 13% continue, and after five years, only 7% remain.

 Traders tend to sell their winning trades at a 50% higher rate than losing ones, but still, the average individual investor underperforms a market index by 1.5% per year.

 Only about 1% of all day traders can consistently predictably profit net of fees, and profitable day traders account for just 1.6% of all trading activity.

These statistics highlight the immense challenges traders face, with a vast majority ultimately struggling to achieve profitability.

Many 'successful' traders on social media present an image of unwavering success, but the reality behind their trades often remains hidden. It's crucial to acknowledge that they may not be part of the elusive 1% of consistently profitable traders.

Furthermore, some traders provide seemingly sound advice like using proper risk management and setting stop losses. However, they often omit a critical truth – spending more time trading does not guarantee greater success. The statistics reveal that traders who continue trading for extended periods still face significant challenges.

Additionally, the recommendation to use only a small percentage of your portfolio (usually around 1-5%) might seem wise. But this approach may not align with the desire to turn a small sum into a substantial profit. In practice, it means risking a tiny portion of your capital and, even with a winning trade, making modest gains that could be quickly eroded by trading fees, taxes, and losses.

Trading goes against natural human psychology, making it difficult to adhere to a disciplined strategy despite losses. This challenge can lead to a spiral of impulsive decisions and ultimately resemble the mindset of a gambling addict.

Traders often continue trading even when they have a history of consistent losses, a behavior observed in some cases even after the introduction of lotteries. The thrill of leverage trading, promising higher returns, can be irresistible, but it also magnifies losses. Leverage trading introduces additional fees and the complexity of funding rates, potentially undermining the trader's account.

One of the most dangerous consequences is the cycle of revenge trading, where losses trigger impulsive, high-risk trades in an attempt to recoup losses. Unfortunately, this often results in the loss of the entire trading account.

It's essential to recognize that trading isn't a matter of intelligence or learning endlessly. Even with advanced strategies and technical indicators, trading isn't about avoiding losses completely. The data shows that only a minuscule fraction of traders is profitable, and these profits are often modest.

Profitable trading involves consistently following a proven strategy, managing losses effectively, and making sure that wins outweigh losses over time. Achieving this demands emotional discipline, which most traders find challenging to maintain.

If trading Bitcoin seems like a treacherous path, there is an alternative approach that offers a better chance at financial success without the stress and uncertainty of day trading.

Long-term investment in Bitcoin, rather than frequent trading, can provide a more stable and predictable path to profitability. The key difference is the mentality; it requires patience and a willingness to hold assets over extended periods. This approach allows you to take calculated risks and avoid the impulsive behavior associated with trading.

Investors who buy and hold on a long-term timeframe often outperform traders, as the potential for significant returns over time tends to outweigh the allure of quick profits. Moreover, long-term investment provides protection against diminishing returns, which is a natural consequence of Bitcoin's increasing popularity and adoption.

In conclusion, trading Bitcoin may be alluring, but it's essential to understand the pitfalls and challenges it entails. Long-term investment, coupled with patience and discipline, offers a more secure path to financial success and minimizes the destructive aspects of trading.

Thank you for reading this article, and remember, the best investment in cryptocurrency is often the one you hold onto for the long haul. If you want more insights and exclusive data on the crypto market, consider subscribing to our premium newsletter for expert guidance and in-depth analysis.

Follow on Twitter for ongoing data driven investment strategy! 

Is Trading Bitcoin Hard? The Realities

In this article, we dive deep into the behind-the-scenes world of Bitcoin and explore why it's not comparable to the stock market. 

The unique cycles of Bitcoin have caught the attention of many investors, but time is running out to take advantage of them. 

We also discuss the 4-year cycle and how to rig the game in your favor. 

While the information presented may not always be pleasant, it's important to focus on the truth to make informed decisions and ultimately profit from this exponential asset.

The Unfair Advantage: Bitcoin is Stacked Against You

 has quickly become a popular choice for cryptocurrency traders looking for a fast and user-friendly trading platform.

With a no-KYC policy for daily trading volumes below 10 BTC, MEXC offers a level of privacy and anonymity that many traders value. 

But is the platform safe and secure? How does it compare to other popular exchanges like Binance? What fees and payment options does it offer? In this article, we'll take a closer look at MEXC Global Exchange and provide you with everything you need to know before trading on the platform.

MEXC Global Exchange Review: Fast, User-Friendly, and No KYC

Buying low and selling high may seem like a straightforward strategy, but it's not always that easy (hardly ever). 

In this article, I will discuss 5 ways to identify Bitcoin tops and bottoms, so you can make more informed decisions and increase your chances of success.

The first thing to consider when trying to identify Bitcoin tops and bottoms is the narrative. 

This refers to the general consensus and belief among investors about the current state of the market. 

It's important to remember that narratives can be wrong, and relying on them too heavily can lead to missed opportunities and losses. For example, during the 2020 cycle, many people hesitated to buy at $16.5k because they were waiting for a recession. 

Similarly, many investors held off on selling during the last tops of $64k and $69k because they were waiting for the $100k promised by the Stock-to-Flow model. 

These narratives ended up being incorrect, causing investors to miss out on potential profits.

To avoid falling victim to false narratives, it's essential to stay informed and make decisions based on data, rather than rumors or predictions. 

You will notice that I always refer to the data when making decisions that I inform you on via Twitter.

While Bitcoin cycles may not repeat exactly, they do tend to follow similar patterns. 

However, the market is extremely unpredictable, and it's important to expect the unexpected. It's crucial to have a plan in place, but it's equally important to be prepared for that plan to fail.

As an investor and trader, you should always be open to adjusting your strategy based on new information and market changes. 

This mindset will help you stay flexible and make informed decisions even in volatile market conditions.

If you are investing in Bitcoin, as an early stage technology, you need to expect a lot of price volatility. 

However, the good news is that the price volitility is where the big investing and trading opportunity is. 

It's what makes trading Bitcoin superior to trading the stock market, in my view.

One of the most effective ways to identify Bitcoin tops and bottoms is by analysing data. 

There are a number of free resources available to investors. I would encourage you to use these (and potentially others): 

By studying data such as price charts, transaction volume, and network activity, you can gain valuable insights into market trends and potential price movements. 

However, it's important to remember that data analysis is not foolproof and should be used in conjunction with other strategies. Data can sometimes be spoofed, or simply coincidental.

4. Wait for Guarantees, Then Expect Shortcomings

At tops and bottoms, many crypto analysts and influencers will start making guarantees about future prices. 

It's important to remember that nothing is ever guaranteed in the world of trading. 

Your favourite YouTuber is, unfortunately, not your friend, and he or she is not there to make you money. They are doing everything they can to maximise their own profit and yeild on their time. You would likely to do the same, in their shoes.

(1) they're not as smart as their previous luck or profits might make them appear, and actually have little idea about what they're doing (other than creating engaging content); or

(2) they're a scammer and using their subscribers to desperately try to pump the price for their benefit.

It's crucial to be cautious and avoid making decisions based solely on the promises, or signals, of others. This is particularly true where you do not have visibility of their trades.

Instead, rely on research and analysis to make informed decisions.

Finally, to successfully identify Bitcoin tops and bottoms, it's essential to stay ahead of the competition. 

Many people in the crypto space are focused solely on making a profit, at whatever social or moral cost. They are not above shilling scams or making unrealistic promises to entice their followers or subscribers.

To stay ahead, you need to start thinking for yourself and be proactive in your research and analysis. 

This means being open to new information and staying flexible in your trading strategy.

In conclusion, identifying Bitcoin tops and bottoms can be challenging, but it's not impossible.

By considering the narrative, expecting the unexpected, analyzing data, being cautious of guarantees, and staying ahead of the competition, you can increase your chances dramatically. 

5 Ways to Identify Bitcoin Tops and Bottoms

Reading this article will require a strong mind and should challenge your perspectives on Bitcoin and the crypto industry.

If you choose to read and carefully consider the information, you may become a successful investor.

However, if you prefer to maintain your current beliefs, this article may not be for you.

Initially, I had immense faith in Plan B’s stock-to-flow model and shared the widespread belief amongst many others in the crypto community that Bitcoin would surpass 100k in the last cycle.

However, despite my conviction, I also possessed the ability to think independently and recognise that Bitcoin had likely peaked in April 2021 at 64k. Consequently, I sold and stepped away.

I returned eighteen months later, shortly after the FTX crash - confident that it presented a fresh investment opportunity. I placed some buy orders at 16.5k. My confidence to do this against the sentiment was, quite frankly made easy due to the numerous indicators and TA data sets I’d been following.

Over time, my experience has led me to some eye-opening revelations regarding the crypto industry. It projects itself overall as a solution, a way to escape from the perils of fiat money and the central banks. However, the truth is far from it.

Chances are, you too view Bitcoin as a groundbreaking technology that will transform the world - a new-age store of value, or even internet gold. It is now imperative to broaden your horisons and look beyond the smokescreen.

Bitcoin is a fabrication and its narratives are fiction.

Since ancient times, humans have exhibited a tendency towards taking calculated risks, whether it pertained to survival in the past or financial risks in the present. Such risks bear the potential for significant rewards, and greater risks can translate to greater rewards.

The New York Stock Exchange dates back to May 17, 1792, when 24 stockbrokers signed the Buttonwood Agreement as a response to the nation's first financial panic, marking the inception of a new means of wealth creation through investing in specific companies. The better the companies perform, the better the investments do, thereby creating wealth through the risk of betting that a specific company will continue to perform well.

Bitcoin originated as a decentralised, peer-to-peer monetary system backed by a unique and novel Blockchain network. However, it quickly transformed into something entirely different. Despite its original purpose, Bitcoin has proven to be a poor medium of exchange given its continual volatility, which is detrimental to consistency in purchasing. Although I accept this might change in the future, there are zero guarantees.

But yet - there are two factors that make Bitcoin exceptionally appealing for me: the potential for unprecedented returns and its effective Ponzi-like design.

Let me be clear: the individuals who make significant profits in the world of Bitcoin and crypto do not subscribe to the frivolous narratives.

They are playing a game, and unfortunately, if you subscribe to the general narratives, you are the loser.

Bitcoin operates on sentiment cycles. The savvy players take advantage of these cycles, buying when others think it’s foolish to, and selling when everyone believes the price of X coin will go up forever.

In contrast to the stock market, you're not investing in a company that has inherent value since it creates things. Instead, you're betting that someone else will buy your coins at a higher price than what you paid for them.

It's fuelled by greed, not by the halving.

Greed cycles are now driving the Bitcoin price, and you can only profit if you take advantage of someone's ignorance - or gambling addiction - by selling it to them at the top. That individual will lose money, and you will benefit from it. That's how you, and I, win.

Over time, there have been ideologies created in the industry by scammers such as the concept of HODLing (hold-on-for-dear-life) and WAGMI (we're-all-gonna-make-it). These stories couldn't be further from the truth.

The truth is, you're in competition with people like me who study the data and wait for others to sell their coins to me at a loss, only to sell them to someone else at the top who will hold those coins at progressively deeper losses until they can no longer bear it.

They want you to believe that HODLing is an effective strategy, saying things like "Bitcoin has yet to see mass adoption, S-curve, super-cycle." You believe you're intelligent by HODLing, but you've fallen into their trap.

Consider this: you've been told that fiat money is a corrupt system that takes advantage of you. You should accumulate as much Bitcoin as possible, buy at any cost, and never sell.

It's highly effective. Those who do this increase the price indefinitely. And this allows the big players to sell to those who will purchase at any price and off-ramp into fiat to buy things that make their life better or easier.

However, the truth is that fiat is an essential part of daily life, whether or not you agree with the inflation system. It allows you to eat, drink, and have a roof over your head. Everything essential to life is dependent on it.

The crypto industry has captured significant attention which has driven an increasing number of bad-intended-individuals who see opportunities for financial gain – at your cost.

Unlike them, I aim to provide helpful insights rather than simply promoting it relentlessly without care of the consequences.

Unfortunately, the crypto industry often rewards individuals who tell people what they want to hear rather than those who provide genuine help. These so-called "crypto influencers" often have over a million followers and promote buying crypto, specifically Bitcoin, even when it may not be wise to do so.

Their followers trust them blindly; not because of their accuracy, but because their messages make them feel good. It’s all about psychology. During the last market peak, many of these influencers were shouting that Bitcoin would inevitably reach $100k, urging people to buy in. This was mainly to increase their own profits rather than to help others.

Sadly, many who followed this advice ended up losing significant amounts of money when the market crashed. While some influencers apologised, most refused to acknowledge their role in these losses and continued to push their advice.

It's essential to think critically and avoid blindly following the advice of crypto influencers.

Something seems amiss with Bitcoin. Despite the stock to flow model predicting 100k and the S2FX forecasting 250k during the last cycle, Bitcoin fell short at 69k. Many try to justify this by citing factors like paper Bitcoin in the system - but the numbers show that returns are diminishing.

The greatest Ponzi-scheme in the world cannot continue indefinitely.

People are getting smarter. Those who were hurt and misled in the last cycle are out for revenge and ready to take profit. There are more of them than ever before, making it increasingly difficult for early investors to profit from those who buy at prices over the all-time high.

Now, you have to convince people to buy something worth $70,000, which is a challenging task.

Despite the argument that ‘you don't have to buy a whole Bitcoin’, many still want to do so, even if it means buying coins worth less than a cent to give them an illusion of ownership – i.e. buying shitcoins.

It's highly probable that there isn't much time left to take advantage of Bitcoin cycles, as it becomes more difficult to persuade people to either repeat past mistakes of buying at high prices or to convince new investors with little knowledge of Bitcoin to buy. This makes the future of Bitcoin uncertain.

Insights